Wednesday, 9 May 2012

2012 Game 29

I lost this morning to migraine, so the batter numbers are still delayed.
Highest Leverage PA:         6.1, PA #69, Barajas HR vs Rodriguez, Pirates' 9th.
Highest Clutch Value:        .750, PA #69, Barajas HR vs Rodriguez, Pirates' 9th.
Lowest Opp Clutch Value:    -.157, PA #68, Navarro K vs Rodriguez, Pirates' 9th.
QMAX rating:                 Success square (3,2) for Jackson.
Bullpen Award:               Goat's Horns for Rodriguez.
Batters' Leveraged Win Values:
LaRoche        0.624
Zimmerman      0.083
Jackson        0.078
Ramos          0.074
Ankiel         0.027
Harper        -0.016
Lombardozzi   -0.051
Bernadina     -0.095
Espinosa      -0.120
Desmond       -0.250
Now here was a game that took me back to the 2009 season, when the bullpen seemed to be a Fountain of Misery, and the Bullpen Goat of the Day award was a bit of fun to relieve the anguish. This was when I started to keep track of win probability, as in comparing the chance of winning when the reliever came in, and subtracting that from the chance of winning when the reliever left the game. Last night, Henry Rodriguez managed to convert his total for the season from positive to negative territory, which was quite something since when he entered the game in the 9th his win probability contribution was .362 in games between 11 April and 4th May.

But it wasn't just Rodriguez. Tyler Clippard did fans no favours either, even after deducting the effects of Ian Desmond's misplay. Clippard's win probablity effect wasn't anywhere close to Rodriguez' disastrous number, but it was still in negative territory.

Despite all the disappointment, though, it was a very good game to follow. So thanks to the players for battling hard, even if they came up short.

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