tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-909819909148894358.post1090274158431364625..comments2022-11-12T14:43:27.362+00:00Comments on De civitate sabermetricarum: All Pitching, All the TimePaul Brewerhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/00053159287108115958noreply@blogger.comBlogger3125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-909819909148894358.post-49981649390342654882010-02-25T00:50:44.566+00:002010-02-25T00:50:44.566+00:00Smitty, I used FIP because
a) it is easy to ca...Smitty, I used FIP because <br /> a) it is easy to calculate; and<br /> b) it is pretty good at predicting ERA.<br /><br />You're absolutely right about the absence of the fielding component, and a better alternative would be to do as I did with Wang, and make some projection of the batted-ball results. However, that would have taken me a lot longer. <br /><br />By showing both the ERA and the FIP projections, I hope that readers can look at someone like Lannan and get an idea of what can be expected. He's an above-average pitcher, but he's probably not quite the ideal #1 guy for a rotation.<br /><br />DIERA is designed for historical purposes, and really is a work in progress at the moment.Paul Brewerhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/00053159287108115958noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-909819909148894358.post-80206561383893757762010-02-23T18:20:43.820+00:002010-02-23T18:20:43.820+00:00If the Nats got a full season of FIP equal ERA fro...If the Nats got a full season of FIP equal ERA from the guys you pencilled in the ERA would be somewhere in, what? the 4.50 range? Sad thing is that would still be a half-run improvement from the starters last year. <br /><br />Lannan is a magic man, Smitty. Don't try to comprehend him.Harperhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/07738813756060133236noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-909819909148894358.post-65812149264855691892010-02-23T16:45:29.203+00:002010-02-23T16:45:29.203+00:00I've looked at FIP a little. In theory it see...I've looked at FIP a little. In theory it seems valid but under some scrutiny, it seems to have holes. Maybe I'm clueless and just don't "get it", but is it strikeout centric? By eliminating the fielding component you denigrate groundball/pitch to contact guys like Lannan or Randy Jones (2 examples that pop into my head). Guys who strike out a paltry amount of batters (Lannan 4.6/9ip; Jones 3.3) and hence, Lannan's FIP has been much higher than his ERA. <br /><br />I see the logic in that a pitcher has "control" over the strikeout and trying to measure a pitcher's ability independent of others. But doesn't he also have "control" over making the batter swing at marginal pitches and getting ground balls or popups? It seems FIP ignores that aspect. Is there anything that does? <br /><br />Warning - I tried doing the DIERA thing but lacked the wherewithal to do the league stats. Found your site via Chris at CapPun.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.com